Tuesday, May 19, 2009

The Danger of Investing in Foreign Bonds

Many new investors express an interest in diversifying their stock and bond purchases internationally. The logic may seem simple: if you shouldn’t hold all your eggs in one stock, sector, mutual fund or bond basket, why should you have everything invested in your host country and its currency? History, unfortunately, is not quite so logical. Instead of protecting investors, international investments have the potential to wipe out the uninformed thanks a myriad of risks not present in domestic issues.

Three characteristics of foreign bonds
A foreign bond has three distinct characteristics:

* The bond is issued by a foreign entity (such as a government, municipality or corporation)
* The bond is traded on a foreign financial market
* The bond is denominated in a foreign currency

Foreign bonds and currency risk
Any time you hold a foreign currency, whether it be cash for vacation or denominated investments, you are subject to currency risk. Simply defined, currency risk is the potential for loss due to fluctuations in exchange rates. Currency risk can literally turn a profit on a foreign investment into a loss or visa versa.

An example of currency risk
An investor purchased a £1,000 par value British bond with a 4 ½% coupon. At the time he made the investment, the currency exchange rate was $1.60 United States dollar to £1 United Kingdom pound (in other words, it costs $1.60 in U.S. currency to buy £1). This means that he paid $1,600 for the bond.

Several years later, the bond matures. The investor is promptly issued a check for the par value of the foreign bond (£1,000). Unfortunately, when he goes to convert those funds to dollars so he can spend them back in the United States, he discovers the currency exchange rate has fallen to $1.40 to £1. The result is he only receives $1,400 for a bond which he purchased for $1,600. The loss of $200 is due entirely to currency risk. (Note that it is possible to profit from currency risk. Had the dollar fallen in comparison to the pound (e.g., the exchange rate went to $1.80 per £1), the investor would have received $1,800, or $200 more than he paid. Unfortunately, currency speculation is just that - speculation. Currency exchange rates are moved by a number of macroeconomic factors including interest rates, unemployment data and geopolitical events, none of which can be accurately predicted with any reasonable certainty. Furthermore, professional investors and institutions can guard against currency fluctuations by engaging in certain hedging practices. This, however, is beyond the scope of our discussion as well as the interest of most individual investors).

Foreign bonds represent an unenforceable claim
The primary risk of a foreign bond is that it is an unenforceable claim. An investor that owns the bonds of a company in his or her home country has specific legal recourse in the event of default. Foreign bonds, however, offer no such protection. An extremist political movement (e.g., Iran in the 1970’s) could come to power and seize or deny all foreign assets and claims. A country may become engaged in a military conflict and prohibit its currency from leaving its borders. After World War II, for example, investors holding bonds in Great Britain were paid interest in pounds yet were unable to convert those pounds to dollars; the money could only be reinvested in pound-denominated investments or spent within the borders of Britain or her colonies.

Eurobonds (global bonds) vs. foreign bonds
There is a difference between eurobonds and foreign bonds. A eurobond is a bond issued and traded in a country other than the one in which its currency is denominated. A eurobond does not necessarily have to originate or end up in Europe although most debt instruments of this type are issued by non-European entities to European investors.

Examples of eurobonds
1. Wal-Mart issues bonds denominated in U.S. dollars on the German financial markets.

2. The French government issues euro-denominated bonds on the Japanese financial markets.

What is an Exchange Rate and What Does That Mean?

Question: What is an Exchange Rate and What Does That Mean?
Picture of British Pounds

British Money - Worth Way More Than Yours

Answer: Defined -- A foreign exchange rate is the relative value between two currencies. In particular, the exchange rate is the quantity of one currency required to buy or sell one unit of the other currency.* Jump straight to today's exchange rate or keep reading to understand what the exchange rate is and what that means to you.

In travel, the exchange rate is defined by how much money, or the amount of a foreign currency, that you can buy with one US dollar. The exchange rate defines how many pesos, euros, or baht you can get for one US dollar (or what the equivalent of one dollar will buy in another country).
Why Travelers Need to Know What the Exchange Rate Is
Before you travel or while you're traveling, you need to know what the exchange rate is so you will know how much your US money is worth in another country. If a buck's not worth a buck abroad, you can budget accordingly (the current exchange rate varies all the time, from "good" to "bad" [for you]... why the variation? Ask experts on war, politics, and finance).

Sometimes, it's easier to think about foreign currency in terms of US dollars. You know how much a soda costs in the US. Pretend you're buying one in France: is a soda in the Paris airport worth two euros? To know what you're paying for the soda in France, it helps to know how many US dollars two euros represents.

Let's say the euro exchange rate is 0.825835. That means one US dollar buys, or can be exchanged for, or is "worth" 0.825835 euros.

In order to find out how much two euros is in US dollars, divide 1 (one, as in one dollar) by 0.825835 to calculate how many US dollars one euro is worth in France: $1.21.

1.00 United States dollars = 0.825835 euros
1 euro = 1.21090 USD

By using the current exchange rate, you see that $1 equals a little over .80 euros. Two US dollars equals about 1.65 euros; two euros equals about $2.40 in US money. You're short. You need forty US cents to buy the soda, which costs $2.40 in US dollars in the Paris airport. (Thus proving that airport drinks are always spendy, and you've "lost" about 20 cents per US dollar in the transaction because of the exchange rate, which favors the euro in this example [bad for your US dollar].
What to Know About Exchanging Money
Don't rely on street kiosks in another country to give you an accurate or completely fair exchange rate. If you know what the rate is, having checked it online or at a bank, go ahead and change your money at a street kiosk, provided you can whittle the vendor down to a figure close to the current rate. It will never be as good as the deal from your debit card (often the best deal) or the number posted online because the street kiosk owner has an advantage -- he's strategically located and open early and late -- think of the reasons you pay higher prices in a convenience store to understand why a street rate may be higher than that from a bank.

Exchanging Foreign Currency in New York City

  • Exchanging your foreign cash or Traveler's Checks for American cash can easily (though sometimes expensively) be done at Currency Exchange Offices and many of New York City's larger banks.
  • Typically you'll get the best rate for buying U.S. dollars once you arrive in the U.S.
  • It often makes sense to exchange in bulk -- commission rates often decline as the amount of money exchanged increases.
  • Some currency exchange offices offer free (or inexpensive) buy-back programs. Even with popular chains, you will probably have to do the buy-back at the location of the original transaction in order to get the favorable rate.
  • Exchange rates are typically better in the city than at the airport currency exchange locations.

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